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Futurology
small group of the foxiest forecasters
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Futurology
May 07, 2019
A small sub-group of people with defined characteristics (the Foxes) are much better at predicting the future than everyone else (the Hedgehogs).
10-year window
2.6.ehrlich’s starvation predictions
american-soviet relations
animal populations
available resources
best seller
care packages.the economist julian simon
classified information
cold war
commodity prices
entire range
erroneous prediction
euro exchange-rate predictions
expert predictions
food supply
future of the soviet union
future.the result
good ideas
group of experienced intelligence analysts
heavy favorite
human population
hypothetical scenarios
important study
integrator foxes
international banks
junior committee member
kind of excessive regulations ehrlich
little thing
meeting of a national research council committee
mikhail gorbachev
near miss
political scientist philip e. tetlock
population bomb
real reform
renowned experts
small group of the foxiest forecasters
smaller teams
soviet union
stanford biologist paul r. ehrlich
sure thing
sustainable future
teams
track record of expert forecasters
united nations security council
united states
world population
worst-case scenario
wrong direction
year exchange rate
years of experience
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